Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 65.046258 73.627170 82.441897 92.141026 102.481883 113.147313 124.949115
2025-05-18 51.978216 64.232713 77.431481 92.569753 109.324767 127.184994 147.548105
2025-05-25 43.543838 57.666117 73.437183 92.077622 113.249098 136.316082 163.123562
2025-06-01 37.578600 53.014316 70.816449 92.403532 117.448636 145.216501 177.971050
2025-06-08 32.084555 48.242346 67.476923 91.372795 119.641740 151.476103 189.519138
2025-06-15 28.724588 45.690181 66.445635 92.755868 124.375502 160.425167 203.943780
2025-06-22 25.943076 43.567618 65.692501 94.260448 129.080181 169.210073 218.079783
2025-06-29 22.545723 40.297281 63.236201 93.454765 130.841098 174.418016 227.965108
2025-07-06 19.050633 36.543259 59.882304 91.292159 130.761425 177.299403 235.005424
2025-07-13 18.073347 36.248955 60.982590 94.698187 137.453290 188.202630 251.457435
2025-07-20 16.706872 35.248567 61.041871 96.695725 142.353398 196.932222 265.331579
2025-07-27 14.662792 33.026433 59.292119 96.226294 144.085160 201.778573 274.547085
2025-08-03 12.657116 30.684517 57.266253 95.330207 145.261709 205.974568 283.051732
2025-08-10 11.313025 29.276341 56.469797 96.007280 148.397390 212.546701 294.413913
2025-08-17 9.789424 27.384879 54.847317 95.466291 149.892581 217.045600 303.232730
2025-08-24 8.647202 26.026707 53.919184 95.805313 152.475914 222.857891 313.625850
2025-08-31 7.312399 24.131364 52.057189 94.751366 153.167051 226.262535 321.047146
2025-09-07 6.637133 23.423998 51.974684 96.164409 157.086183 233.700396 333.408843
2025-09-14 6.047298 22.813317 51.999641 97.701192 161.153840 241.321272 346.002449
2025-09-21 5.086547 21.268034 50.433130 96.878281 162.017482 244.856853 353.535142
2025-09-28 4.021256 19.268962 47.987013 94.669119 160.933633 245.857153 357.881245
2025-10-05 3.922836 19.562988 49.389415 98.148270 167.587360 256.764519 374.572164
2025-10-12 3.623370 19.308489 49.833306 100.188189 172.273893 265.154852 388.139277